MIN

(-202)

Under 8.5

(-119)

So Beau Brieske hasn't been good, which is why I'm easily going with the Twins here; however, both offenses have been below average and the Tigers have had the worst offense in baseball. I just think 8.5 runs is a bit too high for these offenses, and the model agrees, saying this will finish at 7.36 total runs.