SD -1.5

(-107)

Over 7

(-119)

Our model likes the over here by a considerable bit, projecting 12.29 total runs. Now, we know that's skewed by Thompson's stat line and Darvish's one terrible start against the Giants, but we're going to ride with it because 7 is a pretty low O/U. I think the Padres could put up 5-6 alone and both of these bullpens have been poor to start the year.