This will be a test of the model. The model is calling for 4.24 total runs, which is obviously well below 7.5. Now, we know the season is still young, so we need to use common sense and not blindly rely on the data. Still, Severino should dominate this Orioles offense, and the Yankees bats haven't been so potent that I think they're a lock to put up 5 or more runs. We'll side with the model for this one.