GB -2.5

-120

"The Packers have managed to win two straight games against decent to good teams as underdogs without Jordan Love. Matt Lafleur has managed to make Malik Willis a top half of the league QB in those two weeks by EPA. He finally gets his actual QB back. The defense is more impressive, with Green Bay in the Top 10 by defensive EPA the last two weeks. Yes, this defense got beat bad by Philadelphia, but there’s every chance that was more about the turf than actual talent. More importantly, Minnesota is due to regress. This is a great spot for it. "

LA +3

-110

"The Bears have shown themselves to be a fundamentally fraudulent offense through three weeks. Caleb Williams put up good counting stats last week in a loss, but the Bears have yet to break 20 offensive points. The Rams, on the other hand, managed to beat San Francisco last week in thrilling fashion. This is less about loving the very-injured Rams and more about not understanding why the Bears are laying 3 to basically anyone after what they’ve shown so far this season."