NE +6.5

-106

"Even in winning and covering in Week 2, nobody can come away from the first two weeks optimistic about the Jets. Their defense is in the bottom half of the league by EPA, Aaron Rodgers has yet to throw for 200 yards, and he’s in the bottom half of the league in Success Rate. The Jets probably should have lost to the Fighting Will Levises, if Levis wasn’t quite so moronic. And honestly? New England’s playing really well. Jacoby Brissett is in the top half of the league in both EPA and Success Rate. The Patriots run defense is Top 10 by EPA, which should stop Breece Hall. This is on Rodgers’ arm to cover. I doubt it."