Under 7.5

+115

"In Tampa Bay's final seven games of last season, it accrued a worse offensive EPA and success rate than the opposition. The Bucs also ranked ninth in fumble luck, recovering fumbles at higher rates than the league average on both sides of the ball. Combine those variables with key losses on the coaching staff and within their defensive personnel (Dave Canales, Shaq Barrett, and Carlton Davis), and I'm much lower on them than the betting market."