Under 77.5

-120

"I bet under 78.5 (-120). This looks like a bottom-10 offense and a bottom-10 defense. The pitching is supposed to be the savior, but I'm even skeptical there. Three starters are beginning the year on IL, and Jesus Luzardo is going to have a tough time repeating his 2023. And the bullpen was top five in fWAR, which isn't likely to repeat. I don't think Miami is going to approach .500, so give me under 78.5 here."